It is becoming sufficiently apparent Cleveland Indians' LHP and Cy Young Award winner CC Sabathia is embarking upon his final season in the wigwam and will soon depart the organization as a free agent.
Amazingly, reports say his representation intended to ask for even more than the New York Mets eventually agreed to pay former Minnesota Twin southpaw Johan Santana. This is outrageous because New York is a much larger market and Santana a more-awarded hurler.
The Tribe front office, specifically GM Mark Shapiro, suggests the team---one win away from competing in and probably winning last year's World Series---intends to ride things out with the Vallejo, Ca. native, win as many games as possible with him and attempt to retain him before he exits for greener pastures and offers.
While this is a completely understandable public stance, it is not recommended nor endorsed here. CC should be dealt well before mid-summer.
Aside from wanting to optimize contention, Shapiro cites the modest package of unready prospects Minn received from the Mets for Santana, as if to suggest it would not be likely the Tribe would receive inspiring compensation for Sabathia were he to be similarly marketed.
This assumption is not necessarily valid, though surely the Cleveland GM would know better than I.
The Twins, according to wide-spread and much-publicized reports, had several opportunities to liquidate Santana with either the Yankees or the Red Sox; but they over-played their hands and saw the attractive packages removed from the table. Both major-market AL contenders backed out, recognizing they were merely bidding against themselves.
Few American markets can afford the pricetag on an elite, in-his-prime, left-handed pitching ace. It is one of the (many) diseased aspects of what had once been the nation's national pasttime.
Furthermore, remaining in contention and retaining CC are not mutually dependent. This is not an either/or proposition. It is possible to contend and dispense with the CC Sabathia sideshow, as well. It is also quite likely Shapiro is quite aware of and actively involved in exploring just such a possibility, though announcing he is would not be in his best interests.
Some are opining that no one could expect the Cleveland organization to get much in return for a high-priced one-year rental. But that excludes the potential for an exchange involving another soon-to-be free agent hurler, one who'd possibly approximate CC's projected performance but cost commensurately less, thereby being more affordable long-term. Were that player to come from a market large enough to afford---and appealing enough to entice---CC, the makings of such a transaction would be in place.
Since both organizations would be taking on a so-called "one-year rental," neither could claim an advantage.
As it happens, there is at least one such franchise, and it both situates Sabathia in a warm-weather West Coast environment and a league in which he'd get to exercise his long-dormant hitting prowess, simultaneously minimizing the Indians' need to worry about hitting against him. That market is Los Angeles and the ballclub would be the Dodgers, who have in RHP Derek Lowe, an established veteran hurler heading into the last year of his four-year, $36 million contract.
Lowe signed that deal after reluctantly coming to grips with the reality that he could not remain, as he'd hoped to, with the Boston Red Sox. Now 34, Lowe is substantially older than Sabathia and not likely to enjoy his greatest bargaining leverage. But, since he is a sinkerballer and always---contrary to Sabathia---in excellent physical condition, Lowe could well have at least as many remaining seasons of viability, though CC's being left-handed could help extend his career.
Familiar with the AL, Lowe would not experience the difficulties others changing leagues so often do. He, like CC, is an innings-eater, a staff leader, a reliable workhorse and a proven winner. What is more, extending him, were the Tribe to want to, would probably be far more club-friendly than the figures Sabathia's camp has already declined. Eleven mil/year, for example, raises his pay nicely but better fits the Cleveland payroll.
What is more, it would be very realistic for the Indians to expect additional compensation in a Sabathia-Lowe exchange. And it just so happens that LA has expendable corner OFs with productive bats to offer, as either Andre Eppier or Matt Kemp figures to be squeezed out of LA's lineup this spring, owing to the off-season acquisition of CF Andrux Jones. The player Jones deposed in CF, Juan Pierre, is scheduled to open in LF for new manager Joe Torre.
Andy Marte for Nomar Garciaparra might also become part of the package. LA has a sizeable question mark at 3b. Who knows?
Does anyone doubt Torre would welcome Sabathia in LA and that the Dodgers would cherish the public relations coup a CC signing would generate? Since current Dodger rotational pieces Jason Schmidt and Brad Penny are no longer spring chickens, the age disparity between Lowe and CC is another selling point.
So, while it is perfectly reasonable for GM Shapiro to mouth a company line that says: "CC is staying for 2008," the reality of baseball as a business argues that liquidating him may be the more prudent and judicious posture. Getting nothing more than amatuer draft choices for a home-grown all-star talent like CC---as occurred previously when Albert Belle, Manny Ramirez and Jim Thome walked away---simply would not be enough to either appease oft-rejected Tribe fans or to maintain the winning curve finally achieved under Shapiro and field general Eric Wedge.
Shapiro owes it to all concerned to optimize Sabathia as a disposable commodity, acting proactively without over-playing his hand. That much can best be accomplished by keeping his movements under the media radar. Regardless of what he may say, his actions might best be toward getting as much as he can for the over-priced pitcher.
If he is prepared to have to win without CC in 2009, he should be willing to try winning without CC---but with compensation for him---in 2008. Especially if that compensation includes a capable veteran winner and a youthful corner OF bat with power.
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As for the current questions pertaining to the Tribe's LF vacancy, a spot being kept warm by the platoon of veterans David Dellucci and Jason Michaels, something significant figures to occur no later than the return to health of Shin Soo-Choo, the lefty arm and bat acquired in 2006 from Sea for 1b Ben Broussard. Choo missed most of last season with Tommy John surgery and is expected to miss all of April and May rehabbing and regaining his stroke.
Out of options, Choo must be carried on the varsity roster (once healthy) or be exposed to waivers. Since it was for his many skills---throwing, defense, hitting, speed, baseball instincts---that Choo was acquired, it is reasonable to expect Dellucci and/or Michaels will become especially vulnerable upon his return.
That each is experienced as an off-the-bench contributor in both leagues should make him highly tradeable.
It is quite possible the duo, as well as LHP Cliff Lee, will have the opening two months to audition for placements elsewhere, with the Dodgers OF surplus, as well as that of the Washington Nationals, in Shapiro's sights.
Washington not only is getting LH 1b Nick Johnson back from injury, thereby threatening the job security of NL Comeback Player of the Year Dmitri Young (who could possibly be used in LF), but they also dealt for Tampa's Elijah Dukes and the Mets' Lastings Milledge following last summer's acquisition of former Red and Red Sox OF Wily Mo Pena.
This influx of available OF talent might bump Austin Kearns onto the trade market. Shapiro has reportedly long coveted Kearns' services.
As for Lee, it might be wise to give him a heavy workload this spring, especially given the concern over the many innings pitched by both Sabathia and Carmona last year. Cliff needs the work, got plenty of rest last summer and needs to look sharp early if he is to gain a roster spot, rebound to former proficiency and possibly attract trade offers. With remaining options on Aaron Laffey and Jeremy Sowers, in fact, the club may already have it in mind to open with Lee in the rotation. He carries a guaranteed MLB contract, has won at the big-league level and most helps the organization either pitching for it or dealt handsomely from it.
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The picture in today's Plain Dealer of Marte and Josh Barfield---Was I the only one to wish it were Coco Crisp and Brandon Phillips instead?
Rather than looking upon two marginal spare parts desperate to remain with the varsity this year, the club might have two quality performers in those roster spots. Marte (along with catcher Kelly Shoppach and lesser-known pieces) was the primary return on Crisp's departure for Boston. Barfield had nothing whatsoever to do with Phillips' trade to Cinn for RHR Jeff Stevens, but he did become the 2b replacement, acquired from San Diego for Kevin Kouzmanoff, a thirdbaseman who himself has had more MLB success than the heralded Marte. Phillips, of course, last season became only the second 2b (joining Alphonso Soriano) in the history of baseball to produce a 30-homer, 30-steals season.
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It is rather remarkable to consider how far the Tribe went last season when DH Travis Hafner struggled to achieve 100 rbi and the next-best group fell into the rather modest range of 78-72: Blake, Sizemore, Peralta. It was truly a pitching/defense formula, with some timely and situational hitting. Amazing, too, that they survived that awful stretch of offensive impotence in late summer.
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With the NFL combine about to commence Thursday in Indianapolis, considerable thought to respective team personnel objectives is gaining momentum.
It is less than two weeks (Feb. 29) before the start of NFL free agency, an opportunity the Cleveland Browns, under GM Phil Savage, have characteristically celebrated with a furious flurry. Savage is hinting that "anything can happen" concerning the club's not currently having a first-round pick, but 53 marks his present drafting position. That's 22 choices into Round Two.
Savage can be expected to pursue at least four key elements for his troubled front seven---two DEs and two ILBs---with one of each being an immediate impact vet and the other a to-be-groomed future starter---each a strongside performer. That is to say his defense needs a pair of LEs and a pair of good-sized, run-stuffing, physical inside linebackers. Jeremiah Trotter, Randall Godfrey and Victor Hobson are ILBs to consider, by the way.
Unfortunately, these are not his only personnel voids. Not even among his front seven. He also needs a pass-rush threat to complement Kamerion Wimbley and that guy may or may not be capable of starting at LOLB, where Willie McGinest is fading and slowing and last spring's import, Willie's backup Antwan Peek, is less than reliable. With Chaun Thompson probably headed toward free agency and hoping for greater playing time, a backup for Wimbley is another possible need. (Reiterating, Rosevelt Colvin is a name to remember.)
Not that anyone is counting, but that's potentially six component parts for his two-deep front seven.
Hence, expect attentiveness among Savage and his lieutenants when the defenders take the turf in Indy this week. And don't be surprised if Phil jumps the gun a bit to lock up a vet discarded (ATL's Rod Coleman? Dallas' Marcus Spears? Carolina's Kris Jenkins?) during this 12-day interim period leading up to free agency. Pickings are often slim and Savage may do what he can to prevent having to bid against all other clubs for selected pieces.
Offensively, an elusively quick wideout with open-field skills and terrifying speed would be a nice weapon on anyone's roster. At least one more OL figures to come aboard, as well. With Ryan Tucker now the ORG, there is no experienced OTs behind Kevin Shaffer and Joe Thomas. A kid to groom inside is also desireable. Then, too, the club retains negotiating rights with Nat Dorsey, Lennie Friedman and Seth McKinney---at least through the normal end of this month.
Incidentally, it should go without saying that the team does not appear to have a lot of tradeable assets.
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An intriguing rumor coming out of South Florida links Dolphins' Director of Football Operations Bill Parcells with the son of one of his former QBs.
Phil Simms' boy Chris is about to be set free by Tampa, having missed all of 2007 recuperating from having his spleen removed the prior season. The left-hander from Texas was just coming into his own for the Bucs at the time of his injury, one he remarkably played with for nearly three quarters vs. Carolina. Since Miami needs a QB and Parcells is not fond of relying upon raw youngsters (such as Miami's unspectacular second-round '07 selection John Beck), Chris Simms could be the ideal solution for all concerned.
Another marriage of mutual convenience may manifest in Baltimore, where former Dolphin head coach Cam Cameron has landed as O-Coor after a single campaign in Florida. There, Todd Collins, who seemingly came out of nowhere at age 36 for Washington, may finally have a huddle to call his own.
Washington has a first-year head coach in Jim Zorn, who cannot be expected to invest in a starter as old as the free-agent-to-be Collins, especially with fairly recent (2005) number-one pick Jason Campbell available to him. So Collins figures to be moving on.
Few clubs have as urgent a need for an immediate contributor at QB as Baltimore, whose new offensive system will not only be friendly to Collins but one he already knows something of, given its genesis in San Diego, where deposed Skins' O-C Al Saunders once worked. Collins had performed, almost exclusively as a reserve, under Saunders for years, both in Wash and earlier in KC. In fact, Collins was brought to DC to help teach the offense to Campbell, Mark Brunell and the rest of the Wash offense.
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The belief around Cavs' camp is vet pt. guard Eric Snow is being retained for his post-season contribution potential. His steadying half-court floor game. His stellar defense. His heady influences. It is also conceded he is still slowly working his way back to full health after early-training-camp knee surgery.
There are, however, a number of hopeful contenders searching for someone able to provide for them many of those very qualities above-listed. Houston's Rockets, for one, need someone to feed Yao Ming in the post. Denver could use someone to orchestrate the Iverson-Anthony circus. Orlando is another outfit for whom Snow might excel. His now-hometown Hawks of Atlanta had been another, prior to the Mike Bibby deal. Seemingly, only Sam Cassell exists, aside from Snow, as possible trade relief for these roundballing clubs.
For what it is worth, Snow's contract can be successfully exchanged for Orlando's bench duo of Pat Garrity (6-9 with shot) and JJ Reddick. (He could also be exchanged for Houston's Mike James, though that would have to be a three-way, since Mike is not the type of talent Mike Brown would embrace---nor does he play the defense the Magic also covets.) It is unlikely two Eastern teams so close in the standings would accomodate one another, however favorable such an exchange might be for Snow, Orlando and the Cavaliers.
At any rate, recognize Snow as possibly the one piece currently employed by Cleveland who might be both expendable and desireable, thereby identifying him as the most likely to be dealt for roster assistance before the NBA trade deadline Feb. 21. It may be that a big who can bang and/or defend would bring back the greatest benefit.