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Mark Leonard

May 2008 - Posts

  • How about these Tribe deals?

    With things as dismal as they are, many fans of the Cleveland Indians seek escape into fantasizing about remedies. Or so it would seem based upon tv and radio sports-talk shows. Everyone is trotting out plausible explanations for what has gone wrong. Firings are being called for by those apparently interested in scapegoating. We're being told the offensive slumping will abate soon, if track records dictate. No team has ever had as many key elements flunk so disastrously simultaneously. For it to continue much longer would be unprecedented.

    In the meantime, the team's highest-priced bat is battling not only an extended production drought but also a chronic right shoulder irritation. Travis Hafner received a cortisone shot that will either have him back in the lineup Friday night in Kansas City or possibly heading for a stint on the disabled list.

    OF hopeful Shin-Soo Choo is nearing the end of his 20-game injury rehab. Out of minor-league options, he must be activated for the varsity or lost on release waivers.

    These two ballplayers figure to influence the status of veteran OF David Dellucci, as Choo would be getting his ABs. Should Hafner be healthy enough to avoid the DL, Dellucci's time with the team would be about up once Choo is activated. Only a DL stint for Hafner figures to prolong Dellucci's tenure in the Wigwam.

    Therefore, though his marketability might be lean, Dellucci's destiny could trigger some welcomed trade activity by Cleveland GM Mark Shapiro.

    With that in mind, these deals are offered for your entertainment and consideration.

    Jhonny Peralta, Andy Marte and Dellucci to SF for the Giants three most expensive and at least two of their oldest position players: SS Omar Vizquel (41, $5 million, .216), Ray Durham (37, $7.5 mil, .285) and OF Randy Winn (33, $8.87 mil, .293).

    The floundering SF franchise (20-31) gets relatively inexpensive youth for its infield, as well as a veteran reserve for pinch-hitting---at least until they likely move him along to some contender by the July 31 non-waiver trade deadline---while simultaneously divesting itself of some burdensome contracts attached to declining bit pieces.

    Peralta becomes their new 3b, with Marte platooning at 1b with LH rookie John Bowker. The departure of both Vizquel and Durham opens middle-infield jobs for promising youngsters Emmanuel Burriss and Eugenio Velez, respectively, both of whom feature athleticism and speed.

    Conversely, Omar and Ray (both of whom, like Winn, are switch-hitters) become Cleveland's everyday keystone combo, with Jamey Carroll surviving as the primary insurance, permitting Asdrubal Cabrera the additional seasoning he needs at Buffalo, where he can polish his game alongside Josh Barfield while the contracts of Vizquel and Durham expire.

    Winn, for his part, would not stay for long, but move along to AtL (28-24, third in NL East) with Ryan Garko, Michael Aubrey and Paul Byrd for yet another switch-hitter, this one free-agent-to-be Mark Texeira, currently employed for $12.5 mil/yr.

    Garko and Aubrey inherit his vacated post at first, platooning there as they have been here. Winn replaces the injured Matt Diaz as the Braves' LF, while Byrd returns to the Peach Tree capital as the needed rotation addition.

    Texeira may amount to an expensive rental, but he also might be pursuaded to sign-on longterm with the money CC will be leaving on the table. Should that be the case, the Tribe would have itself a cleanup hitter just entering his prime and already exhibiting consistent potency and promising necessary run-production relief for the apparently-overburdened Victor Martinez and Hafner. With Jordan Brown at AAA Buffalo and Matt Whitney still developing at AA Akron, the losses of Aubrey and Garko are mitigated.

    The 28-year-old Texeira arrived from Texas last summer to return to the city in which he played his college ball (Georgia Tech). Drafted fifth overall in 2002, the Annapolis native has an elite career OBP of .370 and is working to extend four straight years of at least 33 doubles, 30 homers, 105 rbi, .370 OBP and .885 OPS (on-base plus slugging). His best season occurred in 2005, when he achieved 41 doubles, 43 dingers, 144 rbi, .379 OBP and .945 OPS. Thusfar in 2008 he's at 14 doubles, six homers, 35 rbi, .364 and .801, accompanying a .267 BA. 

    With an order of Grady, Omar, Ben, Tex, Victor, Hafner, Choo/Gut, Blake and Durham the Tribe would have a balanced and experienced lineup with enough talent and diversity to share the offensive burden. What is more, the D would improve, especially by regaining its critical infield leadership. Durham has some pop, even at his advanced age, and, like Vizquel, can threaten an opponent in a variety of ways.

    This kind of support is more worthy of the outstanding starting pitching Cleveland's hurlers have provided. Either LH Jeremy Sowers or RH Brian Slocum could hold Byrd's vacated slot until Fausto Carmona returned.  

    And the team would be more fun and entertaining to watch without Garko and Peralta on it.

    To this point, this has all the appearances of a stale, stagnant, complacent contingent in need of a serious shakeup. The deals proposed here would at least suffice to rectify those characteristics.

     

         

     

  • In case you missed it, Tucker's D philosophy described

    A quite vivid description of new Cleveland Browns' D-Coor Mel Tucker defensive philosophies came across in a recent Plain Dealer piece by Tony Grossi. In it, a few phrases repeated themselves and serve to indicate what Tucker considers fundamental to the anticipated 2008 approach: collapsing the pocket so QBs can't set their feet and bump coverage that disrupts and re-routes so as to upset timing.  

    The former ingredient figures to hinge heavily on the performances of newcomer DL Shaun Rogers (Lions) and Corey Williams (Packers), as well as what Shaun Smith might generate in fulltime NT focus.

    The latter ingredient should be expected to factor in the selection of whomever is brought in to help fortify the CB position, especially now that Daven Holly has been lost for the upcoming campaign.

    Credit Grossi for so nicely capturing the essence of Tucker's disclosures.

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    Recent entries have argued for Tribe Manager Eric Wedge to bunch his club's best bats, in hopes doing so might better avert the tremendously horrendous number of low-scoring offensive games.

    Sunday morning boxscores contained two graphically illustrating the effectiveness of such a batting order technique---as reflected in what Detroit and Tampa accomplished against Minn and Balt, respectively.

    How does 11 hits, 11 rbi and at least 10 runs from four consecutive batters by both team sound? 

    Tampa's Carl Crawford, BJ Upton, Carlos Pena and Evan Longoria assembled those very numbers against the O's from lineup spots 2-5 yesterday, while the Tigers did two runs better from hitters 1-4: Curtis Granderson, Placido Polanco, Gary Sheffield and Magglio Ordonez.

    While such production, needless to say, is not customary nor predictable, it does illustrate the contagious nature of hitting results, with one man's successes feeding another's.

    Facing starters willing to surrender nine runs each in fewer than three innings pitched is also helpful. No manager can control that from an opposing mound staff, however, as if that needed to be pointed out.

    Kudos to the manager for encouraging his troops to go up their swinging aggressively. Calling what they've been doing "paralysis by analysis," Wedge correctly insinuated turning loose his batsmen might be the best way for them to regain the zeal and successes that not only got them to the big leagues but also to within a single win of last fall's World Series---though Terry Pluto's statistical analysis, also in today's PD, demonstrates that the decline has been digressing for some time now, beginning as long as two seasons ago.

    Perhaps Wedge's inspiration came from watching the manner in which the visiting Rangers flailed confidently Friday evening. OF David Murphy's attacking success most exemplifies the means.

    Lastly, while it is bad news to learn Fausto Carmona will not be available to the Tribe for at least four weeks with that left hip ailment, it nonetheless permits GM Mark Shapiro additional time to intelligently market veteran starter Paul Byrd, particularly inasmuch as he maintains big deals in MLB are rarely made in the month of May.

    Yesterday's entry proposed using Byrd to acquire Rockies' 3b Garrett Atkins and mentioned the rise of LH 3b Ian Stewart as contributory to the veteran's being available. Stewart was promoted by Colo prior to Sat's contest and he got the start at third, going hitless in three trips, with a walk and a K. This despite Atkins having gone 3-for-5 in Friday's contest, highlighted by his 8th homer, 30th rbi and elevated .338 BA.

    Versatile infielder Clint Barmes (pronounced Bar-Mess) was injured in that latter game, during which he raised his average to .343 with two knocks in five trips, resulting in his placement on the DL. Barmes was playing his natural SS spot, having moved over from 2b for the injured franchise centerpiece Troy Tulowitzki. Barmes' hits were both doubles (13) and his two rbi raised his total to 20. He attended Evansville (hometown of Bob Griese and Don Mattingly), as did Cleveland's Jamey Carroll and Utah Jazz head coach Jerry Sloan.  

  • Simplified solution for Tribe's need

    A recent entry proposed a series of trades for the Cleveland Indians to consider as a means to address their nearly-desperate need for offensive enhancements.

    This writing is to simplify the prescription, though it may not necessarily read that way.

    Seemingly, the most available veteran bat of significance belongs to Colorado Rockies' RH 3b Garrett Atkins, a 28 year old with two more seasons before free agency. He is an established meat-of-the-order run-producer, hitting for both power and average. He is being marketed because the Rockies have a sensational prospect named Ian Stewart, a Long Beach native who played on the same high school team as Yankee hurler Ian Kennedy.

    Stewart is a LH bat who apparently can't convert to 2b, as had been considered in order to somehow squeeze both infielders into the same lineup and batting order. With Todd Helton entrenched and untradeable at 1b, Dan O'Dowd supposedly contacted his former front-office partner from his Cleveland days, Tribe GM Mark Shapiro, with a reported conversation asking for LHS Aaron Laffey and 2b Josh Barfield, the former San Diego Padre now toiling in AAA obscurity, otherwise known as Buffalo.

    Shapiro should make it easy for O'Dowd to say "yes" to an alternative arrangement, as he has some expendable assets who figure to have some value on an open market. Shapiro should offer to broker for O'Dowd deals involving both RHS Paul Byrd and LH OF David Dellucci, as well as for SS Jhonny Peralta, should it be O'Dowd doesn't want the trio directly transferred to his roster.

    StL, AtL, the Mets, maybe the Dodgers are examples of NL clubs that would be expected to welcome a reasonable opportunity to add a vet hurler like Byrd. Whatever it is O'Dowd wants from whichever of those organizations willing to accomodate him can become his, with the trade partner receiving Byrd from Cleveland.

    Similarly, whatever it is that Dellucci and/or Peralta can bring for O'Dowd via a trade-away from the Indians can become Colorado's. All of that booty can accompany RH 3b Andy Marte for Atkins, with Marte heading west because it is assumed the rookie Stewart might need an occassional platoon partner and because Marte might find himself in the thin air of a new league. Cleveland would also get versatile infielder Clint Barmes. 

    In brief, that's Byrd, Dellucci, Peralta and Marte to Colorado for Atkins and SS Barmes, who has been playing 2b---a conversion Jhonny might execute were O'Dowd to accept him directly. The newcomers become Cleveland's new left side of the infield, with Asdrubal Cabrera joining Barfield in the Bisons' infield.

    The new batting order? Choo/Gutierrez RF, Francisco LF, Sizemore CF, Martinez C, Hafner DH, Atkins 3b, Aubrey/Garko 1b, Blake 2b, Barmes SS. Carroll and Shoppach round out the non-pitching varsity roster. Adkins might move up in the order once he acclimates to his new league. For now, there is that LH/RH alternating in place.

    Additionally, Shapiro should approach another of his former front-office cronies to extract LHR Damaso Marte from the Pirates and GM Neil Huntington, so that the pen would include Jensen Lewis, Masa Kobayashi, Marte, Rafael Betancourt, Rafael Perez, Joe Borowski and AAA promotee Rick Bauer.

    Manager Eric Wedge should be able to win the division with this collection, so long as he can get over his obsessions with Grady at leadoff and Travis in the three-hole.

    What is more, this advice is free.

  • Can't blame Julio for anger or frustration

    It seems the reason for RHP Jorge Julio's anger the other day in Chicago may have had to do with LF David Dellucci's inability to catch Joe Crede's liner that became a double. The hit stayed in the park and banged off the wall just above the warning track. In other words, even someone slightly height-challenged---as Dellucci might be described---should have been able to snag that drive.

    After all, it was a late inning with a power arm facing a power bat. Any contact conceivably could result in a long ball and an OF in that situation has to be cognizant of keeping any such drive in front of himself. He either mis-read that ball---and it must be acknowledged, as Rick Manning has many times reminded us, that a liner directly over an OF's head is his toughest play---or he was simply not playing deeply enough.

    The only possible defense (no pun intended) for Dellucci's alignment was his being quite aware of his deficient arm strength, causing him to cheat in so as to be able to prevent a runner from taking an extra base. That same arm hurt the Tribe terribly last night---not once, but twice. In the same eighth inning.

    Fans of the club know quite well both Franklin Gutierrez and Ben Francisco possess strong throwing arms able to gun down anyone attempting to score who has not yet hit the bag at third by the time the ball entered one of their gloves.

    Dellucci had two such opportunities last evening, the first with the score still tied at one. Sox CF Brian Anderson, inserted just three batters earlier as a pinch-runner, scored easily from second on Carlos Quentin's grounder to shallow left, though DD had the ball in his grasp just as Anderson was arriving at third base. Instead of being tossed out, Anderson not only coasted in, but Dellucci's extremely weak rainbow was mis-handled sixty feet up the line, bounding away to permit Quentin to attain scoring position, from which he added an insurance run on Jermaine Dye's subsequent single to Dellucci, almost indentically into shallow left.

    Again, the runner scored without a threat from Dellucci.

    Inasmuch as Dellucci had pinch-hit for Gutierrez in the top half of that inning, it was not as if Manager Eric Wedge was replete with defensive options. But the point remains the defensive ineptitude of Dellucci contributed significantly to close-game losses on successive nights in Chicago.

    What is more, Dellucci played a fateful role in Saturday's loss in Cincinnati, as well, as he froze long enough to allow Joey Votto's slap shot to land safely in short left. Very realistically either Ben or Gut comes up with that ball and Adam Dunn never appears in that decisive inning, the one in which he launched a three-run game-winner off Masa Kobayashi.

    The good news is Shin-Soo Choo should be arriving momentarily to assume heavy duty in the corner OF rotation with Francisco and Gutierrez. It is all the more reason Dellucci should be accompanying RHP Paul Byrd in some weekend deal for something of longterm value to the organization. Perhaps they could bring a future closer from some NL club in need of a veteran hurler for its rotation. StL and NYM are two outfits fitting the description. Dellucci's proven abilities as a pinch-hitter might serve such a team well during the stretch run.

    Reportedly, LHR Craig Breslow has already been designated to create a roster opening for the return of closer Joe Borowski. Andy Marte should similarly be getting his exposure to waivers soon, so as to accomodate either Choo or RH starter Jake Westbrook---assuming the young 3b can't be dealt. Maybe he'll make his way through the process to a Buffalo assignment. (He is out of options, so can't otherwise be farmed.)

    With sincere apologies to Dellucci for seemingly identifying him as primarily responsible for three of the six straight Cleveland losses---no, that has indeed been a whole-team effort---David's acquisition by GM Mark Shapiro has never made any sense. Seemingly, it was all about helping to justify the signing a year earlier of another former NL OF of modest skills: RH Jason Michaels. Dellucci would be the LH half of a LF platoon, since neither has had historic success batting against those throwing from the same side as they hold the stick.

    With Choo already in-house and a plethora of rising OF talents among its farmhands---Gutierrez, Francisco, Brian Barton (since lost in Rule 5 to the Cardinals), Trevor Crowe, Brad Snyder, et al---investing in two marginals, particularly with Dellucci apparently demanding a three-year contract, represented a scenario better passed on.

    While it cannot be denied that Snyder has become a non-prospect (despite once having been a number-one draft pick) and both Choo and Crowe have been too impaired since to factor---in fact, Crowe is still at AA---auditioning its kids is how a ballclub evolves and refreshes itself. Should it later become necessary to resort to the veteran journeymen alternative, there are always such types available as non-roster invitees, much as Jason Tyner was this past off-season.

    As has been written previously, Dellucci might best aid this year's contingent by bringing some helpful return in trade.

    Before leaving behind memories of the dreadful road trip, the players should be instructed as to the intelligence and game-turning significance of Anderson's aforementioned pinch-running exhibition, specifically his having tagged-up at first base on AJ Pierzynski's deep fly to CF Grady Sizemore. So frequently, Cleveland runners fail to employ this technique, instead going halfway on fly balls they'd comfortably get two bases on---even if tagging---were they to drop uncaught. Here, Anderson got himself into two-out scoring position, creating a win out of what might otherwise have become a first-and-third situation.

    On another matter, Wedge botched the simple double-switch scenario for which NL late innings are known. Wedge not only failed to get Dellucci out of LF, a move recommended for the reasons stated above, but he waited until mid-way through the half-inning to position the better-fielding Michael Aubrey (making his MLB debut) at 1b for Ryan Garko, so as to have the youngster batting in the pitcher's spot once Cleveland came to bat.

    Whereas his method might've been defensible by waiting to see what Reds' manager Dusty Baker would have warming in his pen, the LH-hitting Aubrey ended up facing lefty Billy Bray anyway.

    What this all evidences is yet more of the organization's chronic shortage of foresight.  

    Having been out-scored 28-13 on its winless road trip, having achieved but two hits off White Sox hurlers on Thursday night, having scored but a single run or fewer for the ninth time in 46 games, this one completing a 5 for 41 spell with RISP---credit to the PD's Paul Hoynes for all these stats---the Tribe finds itself again confronting a ballclub featuring a cleanup hitter Wedge alienated. Last weekend, it was Reds' 2b Brandon Phillips. This weekend, it will be Texas OF/DH Milton Bradley, who is at .322, with 8 homers and 27 rbi.

    In fact, Texas has five hitters with 24 or more rbi, whereas Cleveland has but one. The Rangers have 21 more homers and 61 more runs, hitting 47 points higher than the Lake Erie bunch, a team that has but five batsmen over .228---two of whom are recent promotees totalling 62 AB between themselves.

    Since everyone is panicking and wondering what should be done, here are a few proposals:

    Peralta to San Diego with Gutierrez for RH 3b Kevin Kouzmanoff and 2b Tadahito Iguchi. (Rationale provided in an earlier entry.)

    Byrd and Dellucci to Mets for RHP Mike Pelfrey, to be groomed as a  future closer.

    Mastny, Elarton and Breslow to Pitts for LHR Damaso Marte.

    Farm Cabrera and send Andy Marte to Toronto to bring  back John McDonald for everyday SS. (This deal could be expanded to exchange Kouzmanoff for Scott Rolen.)

    In the meantime, please bunch the better hitters 3-8. Appearing consecutively, they just might allow for an occassional offensive outburst.

     

  • Random notes, principally Cavs'

    Was I the only one to miss both Eric Snow and Drew Gooden from this year's Cavalier playoff run? Though both were certainly limited (Aren't we all?) in their contributions, what they subtraced with their unavailability was significant.

    Gooden, for his part, brought a lot of second-chance points with his relentless offensive rebounding. Snow was that heady steadying influence who characteristically got the offense into a set and a play when things most threatened to unravel.

    One has to think he might've gotten the team more than just Sasha Pavlovic's desperation three in the 2:21 remaining after LeBron's steal-and-slam brought the club to within a single point in Game 7. To be clear, that was the only FG made by the Cavs in that final stretch of post-season time.

    A negative to James' assuming stopper duties on the opposition's top-scoring wing threat is it can take him, as his matchup with Paul Pierce did, from contributing rebounds. Typically a triple-double threat whenever he takes the floor, James was a non-factor as a boarder throughout the Celts series. In this sense, Larry Hughes may also have been missed. 

    Back to Snow, it is now being reported both Charlotte and Chicago would like the Canton McKinley-Michigan State product on their benches for the 2008-09 campaign. The Bobcats have a head coach, Larry Brown, who knows Snow from their days together in Phila. The Bulls, who last night won the overall number-one draft pick, reportedly would like to interview Snow for their top job. In light of these developments, it is probably too late to recommend Snow for the responsibilities as Mike Brown's offensive guru assistant.

    Snow would seem ideal for the job for a number of reasons. He already has familiarity with the personnel and the schemes. He has credibility with the players, including with James, as well as with the front office and the returning staff. He's run some outstanding offenses in the sport, including an extended stint beside Allan Iverson under Brown in Philly. He's undoubtedly a head-coach-in-the-making. He has to be paid by the organization in one form or another, owing to his guaranteed contract calling for $7.3 mil this upcoming season. And he knows both the division and the conference. These are just the considerations that come fastest to this mind.

    Onto other topics, and at the risk of seeming to place too much blame onto one individual, it is nonetheless so that no one came up quite as disappointingly as did mid-year pickup Wally Szczerbiak. Had Wally come through with a respectable offensive game just once in any of the games in Beantown, the Cavaliers would likely have advanced over the 66-win regular-season league champs.

    A career 49% shooter with a 43% success rate from behind the arc, Wally never showed such proficiency in Wine and Gold, though he received the predictable open opportunities, as he surely knew he would.

    In a team sport, it is not uncommon for specific players to have specific job descriptions. Of all those asked to execute their designated specialties, no one did less to satisfy expectations than did Wally---at least on the Cleveland side of things. His ineptitude was challenged only by Ray Allen's; but Boston was better able to withstand Allen's absence than were the Cavs, inasmuch as the latter squad has fewer playmakers.

    It is quite possible Wally will never again have as golden an opportunity as presented itself with this team in this town. It is truly regrettable---for the player as well as for the fans and the organization---that he was apparently unable to rise to that challenge.

    As for the others acquired in the Feb. 21 blockbuster, Delonte West, Joe Smith and Ben Wallace pretty much produced as they had been expected to, at least once their skill sets, as they currently exist, became familiar to fans and critics. Likewise, everyone else on the roster was true to established form, however modest those assessments were.

    One could almost sense that hopes were highest for Wally and that no one would've created more favorable fan response had he managed to recapture his renown shooting expertise---even if only in one road contest.

    Now that the off-season has arrived, it is fascinating to hear such diverse prescriptions for the club where personnel needs are concerned. Some say the team needs a young interior presence, especially given the age of Z, Ben Wallace and Joe Smith. Some say a point-guard influence/field general like Snow had once been is the foremost need, someone able to orchestrate and distribute and to get the ball out of LeBron's hands. A few say the need is for that perimeter shooter the many in-house candidates proved themselves unable to be. Still others opine that what is most needed is someone able to create off the dribble to take the pressure off both James and the shooters.

    What seems to be unanimous is that, whoever/whatever that piece ends up being, he needs to be second-best only to James in impact and athleticism. LeBron needs some sure-fire help. Batman needs his Robin.

    Among the intriguing early rumors is the one that has the Clippers sending Elton Brand and Corey Maggette for Andy Varejao, Sasha Pavlovic and the expiring contracts of Damon Jones and Eric Snow---the thought being LA, as had been Memphis' strategy when Pau Gasol moved to the Lakers, would welcome the cap relief such a transaction would afford them, while obtaining two reasonably athletic/affordable/youthful components in Andy and Sasha, whose disappointing holdouts last summer got the Cavaliers off to an avoidably unsettling start.

    Brand would be that in-his-prime interior force able to score, bound, defend and run the floor. Maggette, on the other hand, is nothing if not a creator, someone able to penetrate, slash and slice from a distance. That both matriculated at Duke also might help mitigate adverse associations involving that university and this town.

    Closing with a few thoughts on the Cleveland Indians, it should be abundantly clear that LHP Aaron Laffey does not deserve to be demoted to AAA Buffalo following his Thursday start in order to clear a roster spot for either of the two returning righthanders, closer Joe Borowski or starter Jake Westbrook. What Laffey does deserve is to become a mainstay in the rotation, a designation better managed by liquidating the asset that is veteran Paul Byrd.

    Paul is popular with his mates, a quality professional and a reliable part of a strong pitching staff. But he is also in the final year of his $8 mil/yr. contract, making him that much more appealing to an aspriring contender short one key arm. He just might be most valuable to the Cleveland organization liquidated, perhaps even as a means to maximize return on another expendable piece or two.

    Byrd with Dellucci and/or Franklin Gutierrez could possibly bring back that badly-needed run-producer. Such an addition might not, as GM Mark Shapiro suggests, be enough to rectify all that ails the Tribe attack, but it might sufficiently reduce the pressure on the remaining core that all relax enough to regain established track records.

    In the meantime, it might be advisable for all the batsmen to quit trying to pull everything and to temper their patience so as to better distinguish the bad offerings they swing at from the fat ones they take for strikes. It's maddening.

    Manager Eric Wedge should also consider bunching his better bats in order to abate the 25 of 45 games with three or fewer runs scored. Wedge has characteristically opted to distribute a hot bat into each of the three thirds in his batting order---a distinctly difficult thing to do when everyone is between .242 and .180. He should position an additional table-setter with Ben Francisco in front of Grady Sizemore, Victor Martinez, Travis Hafner, Jhonny Peralta and the 1b platoon of Michael Aubrey and Ryan Garko in spots 3-7.

    On that count, it might be that the unheralded Jason Tyner would be a better fit for LF and the leadoff role than would be Dellucci, since the slap-hitting speedster had demonstrated himself to be quite the annoyance when with the Twins, seemingly always in the midst of some nettlesome rally when battling the Tribe.

    Dellucci had once been a decent leadoff threat in Texas and in Arizona and might have more of that magic within himself yet; but he's no three-hitter and his fast start has disintegrated into a current average of .227. With Shin-Soo Choo (3 for 5 with a HR last night) soon to arrive from injury rehab, the third outfield job will be his to handle, making discussions relative to Tyner and Dellucci fairly moot anyhow.   

    In the event you've missed it, today's Plain Dealer, via the contributions of Terry Pluto and Paul Hoynes, has some excellent material on the Tribe and its woes, available online at cleveland.com/sports.

    What I'd like for them to do is illuminate us as to what the fascination is within the organization with Jhonny Peralta and why it is he's not being considered for conversion to either 2b or 3b. It can be admitted that Robby Thompson, longtime spring-training instructor and a former SF Giant, has raved to Bay Area sportscasters about the Cleveland SS's remarkable hitting potential, predicting he'd soon be one of the AL's stars.

    Why can't we see it? Trusting these eyes, he seems as expendable as Byrd and Dellucci, someone best used as barter for solutions to other needs.

        

  • Change is in the air.

    Can you feel it too?

    It is not just the abundant speculation revolving around the Cavaliers, now that another NBA season will again crown a champion from somewhere else other than Cleveland.

    It is not just out of San Diego, where GM Kevin Towers is promising serious changes, indicating that "a group" of prospect might be promoted en masse. (See the Padres' home site for details.)

    It is not just emanating from the keyboard of Indians' beat writer Jim Ingraham, of the Lake County News-Herald and Lorain Mourning Journal, one of the more respected local contributors who proposes radical roster adjustments in a recent piece.

    It is so palpable that I've got the computer screen on the Tribe's home page, fully anticipating some nugget of profound news. Together with yesterday's off day, the team's ranking as one of MLB's worst at generating offense, the scary proposition that the club's excellent starting staff will go fully to waste due to the putrid performances of those employed to create runs in their support and that many fans are arriving at the conclusion that the club is nearly unwatchable, it seems quite believable that the front office has also seen about as much as it can stomach from this particular roster assemblage.

    Ingraham's frustration is such that he recommends deals that too closely approximate those of the common desperate fan. He overpays. He covets personnel the other club would be crazy to part with. He imagines implausible cooperation. He's sick and tired, like many of the rest of us.

    Who can blame him?

    Something must be done. Something must happen soon. Something significant just has to be about to occur.

    As the Plain Dealer's Paul Hoynes points out in today's edition, the Tribe went into Sunday's contest with the homestanding Reds---who went on to complete a three-game sweep in which the visitors combined to score the grand total of nine runs (2, 3, 4)---featuring four starters hitting .226 or less, with a fifth making his first MLB start. Naturally, that new guy homered, apparently not yet afflicted with whatever ailment it is that torments the balance of the clubhouse.

    That day's keystone combo---SS Asdrubal Cabrera (.180) and 2b Jamey Carroll (.194)---in fact, was below the laughable Mendoze Line. Many of us were nonetheless glad to not have Jhonny Peralta (.225) out there to further inspire damage to our own television screens.

    Peralta, who has actually shown an improved bat since Manager Eric Wedge decided to utilize him in the two hole, where JP did so well as a minor-leaguer in his days as the American Association MVP, leads the club in dingers (8) but scarsely has more rbi (15) than  mates with markedly fewer ABs: David Dellucci (14 in 35 fewer); Cabrera (13 in 20 fewer); Franklin Gutierrez (12 in 17 fewer). As badly as Hafner is doing, he has five more rbi in six fewer ABs.

    Perhaps this is the day someone out there elects to give Peralta a new address. It would probably be someone who suspects they can succeed in converting him to a position other than SS, where his movement issues would be less of a concern.

    At any rate, these days threaten to bring a sudden end to the likes of Peralta and Andy Marte in the Wigwam. Perhaps the two will be acquired by Towers with Gutierrez---who Ingraham suggests has lost his daily job to Ben Francisco and would be a welcome defensive addition to the Padres for their spacious CF---for something like vet 2b Tadahito Iguchi, RH utility man Scott Hairston and one-time Indian Kevin Kouzmanoff, a RH 3b who is currently blocking the spot typically played by top prospect Chase Headley.

    Everyone has ideas these days and most of us have a hunger for personnel adjustments when reminded how inept are the current formulas. Cavs' GM Danny Ferry bit the bullet on Feb. 21, when instigating his three-team manuever bringing in Ben Wallace, Delonte West, Joe Smith and Wally Szczerbiak. Had only Wally shown up one time on the parquet, maybe we're all preparing to eliminate the Pistons.

  • Hoping Lebron learned a lesson last night

    I'll begin by saying I still believe the Cavaliers will be the team to eliminate the Celtics this NBA post-season. I feel the team has what it takes and that Boston's personnel will not rise to the level of performance they have needed in order to push aside the Cleveland contingent in the last two of their three series wins.

    It is accepted that Cleveland allowed Game One to escape them. The Boston bench bunch stunned the Cavs in Game Two, which was a contest the visitors led healthily before allowing the lead and the game to get away---which, of course, is what it also permitted yesterday in Game Five.

    Rajon Rondo and Kevin Garnett will not reproduce what marksmanship they managed, so critical to last night's outcome. They both rose magnificently to the occassion last evening, spurred on by their home crowd, joining them in refusing to lose.

    But that is not why the Cavaliers lost. For that, look at Lebron James.

    I know it is sacrilege to criticize James, who is undoubtedly a superb athlete, a regional gem, one of the sport's---anywhere in recent professional sports!---most gifted talents. This is about a singular aspect of James' play, and it is not about his free-throw shooting, either.

    James needs to resist becoming overly impressed with his own considerable virtuoso capabilities. He needs to better trust his supporting cast. He needs to quit freezing-out his mates. He needs to think back to how his hero Michael Jordan began winning titles once he entrusted the Steve Kerrs, John Paxsons and BJ Armstrongs---even in critical contests and situations.

    In team sport---and I know Lebron knows this, evidenced by the many outstanding assist games he has had---one must trust one's teammates. One's success is dependent upon them. The games the 2007-2008 Cavs have played especially well are those in which the role players were maximized and allowed full expression of their own potentials.

    One is not trusting one's mates only when one needs them urgently, as might apply to that late occassion when Wally was granted a token three-point attempt from the right corner. Naturally, he missed it. Rare (Damon Jones?) are the guys who can go quarters without a touch but deliver with a 3 when it is desperately required.

    For a shooter---be it Wally, or Z, Sasha or Daniel Gibson---to be denied active participation by someone electing to instead monopolize the ball himself, as if he did not believe the others were capable of helping him, is comparable to being treated with disdain only to be suddenly expected to rescue everyone when times are toughest. It doesn't work that way, as anyone who has experienced such treatment on a basketball court can attest. This is particularly difficult for someone coming to a new outfit mid-year.

    When a key teammate is showing deficient confidence in you, it is very difficult to remain confident in yourself. Without a requisite level of self-confidence, most athletes will struggle to achieve, much less to excel.

    A team leader brings out the best in his mates. That Lebron did not come close to winning the MVP speaks volumes about his widely-perceived shortcomings in this area. As benevolent and sharing as he can be, he nonetheless seems overly-consumed with feeling it is he alone who can deliver the franchise and its fortunes.

    This is why I cringed so much yesterday, hearing too many voices calling for a bust-out performance from the team's superstar. It is not an individual's achievements that win championships, especially against the caliber opponent one is going to see in the latter rounds of post-season play. 

    Z had five shots, despite proving to be a very difficult matchup for the Green all series long. Wally had eight points in the first quarter, but totalled only eight shots on the entire evening. Gibson had four shots. James had but five assists.

    So you don't think this is just one "hater's" rant, listen to what Ray Allen had to say after the game. "We did a good job of recognizing when he (James) was gonna score and when he was gonna pass...(the game turned for us) when we began to make the extra pass."

    Everyone identifies the clutch and much-needed pair of threes hit by Rondo just before the half as integral to Boston's resurrection, opportunities afforded him despite his being but 5-for-19 on such shots all season long. One has to wonder: "Would James have even allowed Rondo a touch in such a situation, his team down double-figures and very much in need of points?" I'm guessing he would not have. Why? Because he's characteristically denied so many of those who'd helped fuel Cleveland's last two wins over the Celts in the Q.

    I think Ray Allen and his mates sensed James would elect, instead, to try matching Boston's offensive exploits with wondrous creations of his own. Sometimes, James succeeds; sometimes he doesn't. We all saw that ill-advised hoist from the top of the key during one of Boston's third-quarter runs. We've seen too many of these over the years with James, too many of them part of Cavalier losses. We've rarely seen the club fail when James involves his mates for a full four quarters.

    At this point, a writer might interrupt himself to apologize for daring to take to task so marvelous an athlete as James, less he be accused of encouraging him to leave town for New York, New Jersey, Miami or some other distant, big-market enterprise. I'll not do that. This is not about disparaging James or his play.

    This is about hoping he learned a lesson last night. If he is going to win it all, as he says he intends to, he is going to have to learn to trust his teammates---not only most of the time, but all  of the time, especially when it matters most.

    Last night's contest was a winnable ballgame, as were the other two lost to Boston. Conversely, the Celts cannot say the same about their two losses in Cleveland. The Cavs can---and I believe will---win this series, making history Sunday in Game Seven. They are capable of outplaying Boston and showing them matchups they cannot overcome.

    But being forced to stand around and watch their incredibly-gifted mega-star relegate them to bystanders is not going to enable the rest of the Cavs to get it done, but will create more nights like last night, when the rebounds and loose balls landed in the paws of the opposition.

    As NBA analyst Tim Legler contributed last evening: "None of the other Cavs were in rhythm; it was all Lebron all the time."

    Many blame the head coach. Perhaps they should. Then again, perhaps it is the superstar who overrides what is instructed. I don't know nor do I need to. I only know the club's best chance of eliminating the NBA squad with the best regular-season record is by attacking them en masse, as a team, from all directions.

    It would also help if everyone made their free throws, too.

    --------------

    Speaking of fouls, contrary to what was opined on the radio waves this morning, it is not believed the referees necessarily rendered judicious treatment to the visitors on the victor's court, though the Cavs shot 41 free throws to Boston's 23. Many were the times a Cavalier was fouled hard on the body during a drive to the hoop without a whistle. How could what Kevin Garnett did to flatten Delonte West during a fourth-quarter drive go without consequence?

    What is more, Boston was most evidently fouling with deliberation. How else could PJ Brown merit four calls in fewer than eight minutes? Big Baby Davis had three in eleven, though some of that is rookie clumsiness. Boston fouled to prevent layups, to send a message, to put wear on the Cavs and to require the visitors to earn their points on the line, confident they could and would not. They won because of it.

    -------------------

    Onto a pair of non-basketball items.

    The absence from OTA's by Browns' TE Kellen Winslow, Jr. is entirely insignificant, inasmuch as he'd be unable to participate anyway, with yet another operation having occurred on his oft-troublesome right knee.

    That is not revelation material, of course. It has been clearly reported elsewhere.

    It is brought up to say Winslow has little ground upon which to stand should it be he does, in fact, intend to clamor for a new contract. He has openly admitted he will never be what he might have been had he not caused injury to himself attempting to master the motorcycle---precisely the type of off-the-field behavior standard NFL contracts prohibit, for precisely that reason.

    Since he is, therefore, providing even less than what is was he was drafted to do and doing it less athletically than he admits he would have, it is disingenuous, hypocritical and most assuredly self-serving to argue he should be paid more. It is as if he were saying: "Though I'm giving you less than I once could and will never be what it was you dealt-up in Round One to acquire, I should be paid more than you've already contracted to pay me."

    Hey, it's not my money. The Browns are smart enough to know all of this themselves. They can do as they wish. But these are my thoughts on the matter.

    It matters not that Kellen has worked very hard. He should. Professionals do that. It is what they are paid so handsomely to do. It matters not that his numbers have been very impressive, resulting in two consecutive Pro-Bowl caliber campaigns. That is also what he was drafted for and is being paid to do. It also matters not that the young man may have a self-imposed abbreviation on his once-promising career. Winslow did that to himself when he decided to go his own way in regard to the motorcycle purchase and subsequent escapades.

    To expect to be paid more for being less is simply absurd and ridiculous.

    Lastly, on a baseball-related subject, refer to page 37 in this week's Sporting News. There, in a piece titled "Inside Dish," Sean Devaney (presumably) writes: "The chief concern about Indians DH Travis Hafner isn't so much his poor batting average. It's his inability to generate power. 'You can see him pulling off the ball way too much,' says one scout. 'There's no way he can drive outside pitches.' Indeed, Hafner, a lefty, has hit better against lefthanded pitching than righthanders. It would be wrong, though, to blame Cleveland's offensive woes on Hafner---every regular other than C Victor Martinez and CF Grady Sizemore is hitting under .250."

     

  • Tolerate numbers? These speak for themselves

    Having tracked the batting stats being compiled by the Cleveland Indians' AAA lineup in Buffalo, it seems time to share a few. After all, what the big-league club has been doing offensively has been somewhat distressing and often the most immediate remedies are in-house at the upper levels of an organization.

    That being the case, below are the primary contributors representing in the American Association, those presumably most ready to provide assistance at the MLB level, should they be needed. To bring perspective to interpretations, bear in mind .330 is a respectable OBP, with .370 or above elite. Anything below .310 is not good. As for strikeouts/walk ratio, these should be nearly one-to-one. These categories being specifically defined say a lot about plate discipline---or lack thereof, though biasing your assessments is not the desire.

    Herr          133 AB    5 doubles   5 homers      22 rbi       39 K    8 BB   .271 BA   .315 OBP  (11 errors)

    Sandoval  120           6                0                   8             16       12        .267         .333

    Gonzalez  106           8                4                  18            31       21        .255          .383

    Barfield    161           8                4                  14            35        9         .255          .297

    Cooper     88            8                3                  16            25       11        .250          .352

    Mulhern   112           6                3                  13            32       15        .250          .339

    Snyder     111           8               4                  17            33         9         .216          .279

    Toregas    96            5               1                   13            19       10        .198           .280

    Brown     96            11               0                  10            12         8        .271           .333

    Aubrey    41             4                0                   5               4         3        .341           .386

     (at AA) 103           10               2                  16            12         8         .282           .330

    As for prominent Akron (AA) batsmen:

    Hodges  130            5               7                  31             27        10        .277           .333

    Whitney 133           10              3                    9             30          9        .233           .297

    Goleski  111            2               3                    8             28        14        .233           .320

    Gimenez  80            6               3                    9             18         22        .275          .427

     

    It should be noted that both Ryan Goleski and Matt Whitney were recently Rule 5 losses returned to the system. Goleski was the top-overall selection prior to 2007 and dealt to the A's, where he was unable to stick. Whitney was with the Nationals this spring. Brian Barton, also lost this past off-season in Rule 5 (while the organization instead chose to humanely protect LHR Juan Lara, who unfortunately was badly injured in an auto accident), is still with the Cardinals, though his average has fallen precipitously with increasingly irregular use.

    On the subject of former Tribesmen, which is appropriate given the damage done last night to Oakland's Alan Embree and Andrew Brown, it should be mentioned that Jody Gerut is again a big-leaguer, having been recalled by San Diego and installed into CF and the leadoff role. The Pads have struggled to defend their spacious home outfield and have also moved Brian Giles (.266) from leadoff to third in hopes of igniting run production. Kevin Kouzmanoff, nabbed in exchange for Josh Barfield, is still the SD 3b, hitting .273 out of the five hole.

    Barton's .268 has been a surprisingly strong assistance to StL's amazing start, but not nearly as profoundly as has been Ryan Ludwick's .336, particularly given his 8 dingers and 24 rbi. No longer strictly a platooner, Ludwick is an everyday RF now, a development that has lessened Barton's participation.

    Texas' OF/DH Milton Bradley is at .311 with 20 rbi, six homers and a sore shoulder. Ramon Vasquez is a .344 sub with the Rangers. The guy he survived as the Tribe's middle-infield reserve, Brandon Phillips, is hitting .282 with 7 homers and 18 rbi as Cinn's cleanup bat. Sean Casey went into Tuesday's play at .346 for Boston, with a .424 OBP in 52 ABs, while teammate Coco Crisp is at .315. Manny Ramirez, who should never have been allowed to escape his original organization, is at .309.

    Baltimore is being aided significantly by Luke Scott's .281, featuring two dingers and 13 rbi out of RF. RHS Jeremy Guthrie is 2-3 with a 4.18 for the O's, who have turned to journeyman speedster Freddie Bynum at SS. Conversely, Julian Tavarez was designated by Boston. And Jim Thome is flailing at .214 for the Chisox. Jeff Kent is at .250 with 19 rbi for the Dodgers.

    Having only a small sample size of AB's upon which to base their play, Omar is at .400 for SF and being rumored heading to Boston, where Alex Cora, job-sharing SS with the error-prone Julio Lugo, is hitting .600. Luis Rivas is at .224 for the Pirates, who have been using veteran 1b Doug Mienkiewicz some at 3b, by the way.  Wily Tavares carries a .234 for Colo.

    Ryan Church is tearing it up for the Mets, behind a .324 with 8 homers and 30 rbi, also out of RF. SS Maicer Izturis, who accompanied Church to Mont years ago for LHR Scott Stewart, is on Anaheim's DL.     

    What is truly remarkable, however, is that both Tampa and Florida are first-place ballclubs at this writing, with identical 23-16 marks, tied with the Cubs for second-best in all of baseball to Arizona's 24-15. For those attached to big-name athletes, an inspection of their respective lineups would be illuminating, spiced as they are by retreads, discards and no-names like Dan Uggla (a Rule 5 selection from Ariz), Jorge Cantu, Eric Hinske, Carlos Pena, Luis Gonzalez, Cody Ross, Cliff Floyd, Gabe Gross, Wes Helms, et al.

    Could the Marlins really be heading toward their third title since the Tribe was but one out away from its first since 1948?

    Also astonishing is the research cited by former Mets' GM Steve Phillips this morning on ESPN's Mike and Mike program. He says the sport is down nearly a thousand homers over the past two seasons, given the current pace. Phillips attributes the drop off to more closely monitoring performance enhancers. "Doubles and triples are also down significantly," he said, resulting in greater parity achieved by those clubs able to execute small-ball. Mentioned were the Rays, A's, Twins in contrast with the Tigers. The game was down about 500 homers last year, with a similar decline again developing this season. An ironic announcement in the wake of the new Barry Bonds indictments. But remarkable all by itself.

    That same program credits Houston's Lance Berkman with 25 hits in his last 38 AB over a ten-game stretch. Yeow! That's hot.

    Procrastination cost me the opportunity to opine with timeliness on this count, but I'd thought Miquel Cabrera's acquisition by Det might be negated by Gary Sheffield's possible decline. Sheff, also mentioned in the Balco investigation and coming off shoulder surgery at 38, is at .202, while Tigers' castoff Craig Monroe is helping Minn with his .274.

    Bringing this entry to a merciful close, one must remark upon the incredible campaign being had by Boston's Kevin Youkilis, as if Cleveland-area fans need to be reminded what a pain he can be. Kevin, through Sunday, was at .322, with 27 runs, 30 rbi, 8 homers and 12 doubles---each ranking him among the AL's top four in a respective category. Who'da thunk he'd surpass both Manny and Popi as the Sox foremost slugger? With Jacoby Ellsbury and Dustin Pedroia also among league leaders in meaningful categories, it is apparent Boston has done more than just cherry-pick stars mid-market teams were unable to retain---though that business cannot be overstated whatsoever.

    Meanwhile, that is a former Red Sox farmhand pacing the Marlins and recently rewarded with his mega-contract. SS Hanley Ramirez is receiving acknowledgement around the sport as possibly the NL's top talent, based upon his .336 average, 33 runs, 13 steals and inspriring all-around excellence, both in play and in spirit.

    Conversely, Pitts is at 19-20 despite outstanding numbers being put up by OFs Xavier Nady (.338, 34 rbi, 14 doubles) and Nate McLouth (.305, 31 runs, 10 home runs, 31 rbi, 13 steals). LHR Damaso Marte, who I still suspect may be the number-one in-season AL Central acquisition, has 7 holds.  

  • Tribe just hours from quartermark

    Cleveland Indians GM Mark Shapiro is inclined to identifying the 40-game mark of a given season as the initial point at which assessments of a team may be legitimately made. Anything deduced earlier than that is reactionary, perhaps, illusion at the worst. Rash, at least.

    Weather permitting, the 2008 campaign should arrive at that specific junction by the end of this day, with today's Toronto doubleheader registering games 39 and 40.

    Having won six of its last ten, the club is currently at .500, its 18 wins accompanied by as many losses. Some very recent outbursts have served to somewhat obscure what has been a horrible first half offensively, with almost every player responsible for a share of those difficulties.

    The team is last among the 14 AL clubs in triples and total bases, the latter distinction by a whopping 21 bags. It ranks 13th in BA and slugging percentage, eleventh in doubles and steals, tenth in homers and ninth in both walks and rbi. Amazingly, it is but a half-game out of first in its division. Not so amazingly, only five AL outfits have more K's.

    Among regulars, only catcher Victor Martinez has an average worth boasting about (an AL-leading .346), but he has yet to homer, has scored only 8 runs and driven in an extremely modest 14, given the average and his being situated in the cleanup role. Some of that can be attributed to his hamstring woes, but moreso it is attributable to deficient table-setting in front of him and protection behind him.

    In fact, the customary five-hole designee is 8th on the team in rbi despite being 3rd in ABs and tied for first in homers. So sporadic has been that man's run production that he is tied in rbi (13) with a teammate (David Dellucci) having 29 fewer AB. That player is also second on the club in strike outs, last in OBP, ninth in doubles---where he is tied by someone having 95 fewer at bats---and scarsely ahead of only two regulars in BA.

    This player is, of course, Jhonny Peralta. Credit the PD's Terry Pluto with revealing that Peralta, hitting .216 overall, is but .209 vs. RHP and .143 with RISP.

    In utmost deference to Shapiro's standard for patience, it is time to ask: "Why is this guy still a starter? Why is he so regularly in the five-hole? Why is he considered a core piece? Why is he not being shipped elsewhere in exchange for something with upside?"

    Credit, too, Manager Eric Wedge with finally sitting the guy again for Game One and for saying, in the Sunday Plain Dealer: "From a discipline standpoint, he's played long enough (You're telling me!) where he understands what he needs to do to be successful and what gets him into trouble." Also in his Indians Insider, beat reporter Paul Hoynes paraphrases Wedge as indicating he would like to see more consistency at the plate from Peralta.

    I beg to differ. It would seem Peralta has been quite consistent indeed. What he is is ill-equipped. What is happening is he's being mis-employed. He's clearly not a five-hole bat, nor is he deserving of core-piece consideration. It should not have required 40 games to conclude this much, either.

    What is more is Peralta sat and witnessed, as did  thousands of Tribe fans, what playing SS at the MLB level should look like. During Saturday's contest, second-year man Asdrubal Cabrera was permitted to perform at his native position and executed at least three stellar defensive plays that Peralta quite likely would never have converted into outs, as each required the shortstop to go deep into the hole and throw across his body while on the run to edge a Toronto batsman. Though Jhonny has one of the game's better infield arms, he lacks the range, body control and quickness to match what Cabrera displayed on those three grounders.

    It had to have occurred to everyone watching, Peralta included, that the club might be far better served---particularly inasmuch as it is so conspicuously constructed around its starting pitching---were it to henceforth feature Cabrera as its everyday shortstop.

    Though this is a thought articulated by many, this writer included, dating back to Cabrera's emergence late last summer, it remains the company line that "Peralta's bat is needed in the lineup." This perspective was echoed dutifully, in fact, by a host on the club's cable production typically preceding television broadcasts.

    Is it really so that this organization is beholden to someone with such horrific offensive numbers, particularly when they come attached to a player who remains undisciplined in the box, can't run and displays less-than-average major-league SS range? Are those aforementioned numbers really those of an indispensible component part?

    Is this not the same guy who has yet to have an 80-rbi campaign? What is the fascination with this player?

    It had been proposed, at the start of the off-season and again before spring training, that Peralta be converted to 2b, where similarly over-sized middle-infielders (Bobby Grich, Jeff Kent, et al) have gravitated and succeeded due to lessened range requirements. Third base was also mentioned, as the organization is seemingly without succession behind Casey Blake, a reality that resulted in his $6 million contact and the retention of Andy Marte.

    Alas, neither option was/has been pursued.

    What is offered as defense of that resistance has been the nonsensical argument perpetrated by Shapiro and inexplicably embraced and echoed by certain media cronies. It holds that Peralta's anticipated offensive potential at SS (as well Victor's at catcher and Grady's in CF) is needed to negate what is being sacrificed at the traditional power spots in the corners of both the infield and the outfield---as if the arrangements were mutually-exclusive. (Why must it be either one or the other? Cannot it be both instead of either?)

    In other words, just because you possess offense at traditionally non-offensive positions does not mean you must not have offense at the traditional corner spots.

    It is furthermore absurd because both Cabrera and Peralta would still appear in the regular lineup, even if Jhonny moved to 2b and Asdrubal at SS? The offensive contributors would be identical but the D would be enhanced.

    One must deduce the organization is really saying it is desirous of preserving Peralta's maximum value, something that might be compromised were Jhonny to become a 2b or 3b. But shouldn't present success be the priority over potential liquidation value? The front office can't truly believe it is better all-around continuing to invest in Peralta as its SS, when a clearly superior defensive option exists in-house?

    Even should it be the brass was protecting itself against Cabrera's being an aberration, wouldn't adding SS depth been wiser than maintaining the status quo?

    Therefore, there must be something about what is needed from a 2b that Peralta lacks. Certainly, his arm would be an asset on the dp. It must be the turn he can't perform.  

    The aforementioned Pluto, in his Sunday notes column, wrote: "When some tribe fans want a major trade, they usually suggest dealing veteran players they don't like. But that does not happen because other teams have scouts and televisions, too."

    On the surface, this too seems to hold some merit. But it might also be said the Cleveland organization cannot have it both ways. A regular who possesses no marketability whatsoever should not be someone playing almost daily, much less in the five hole, as if his presence were essential to the team's contention.

    If it is to be assumed true that such a player is integral to whatever winning might be had, how could it be he'd have no market value were liquidation investigated?

    Peralta should be believable in a conversation to acquire a future 3b, then, right?

    It must be acknowledged, however, that Cabrera (.194) is one of only two starters---much-maligned DH Travis Hafner (.215) is the other---hitting less well than Peralta's .216. But Cabrera has only two fewer rbi in 18 fewer ABs. And it is not Asdrubal who immediately follows Martinez' excellent OBP in the batting order.

    Particularly inasmuch as JP is second on the club in total bases and has enjoyed such favorable designation in the order, Peralta's production should be bearing far more fruit. He simply is not a quality run producer. It is a mistake to expect him to perform as one, a judgment for which Shapiro and Wedge are responsible. 

    Now that 40 games are nearly in the book, perhaps the brass is ready to acknowledge the errors it has made relative to Peralta's employment---both in the field and at the plate. He's been remarkably overrated heretofore---or he is woefully under-achieving.

    As that sentence was written, Cabrera just turned yet another play Peralta could only dream of, ranging far to his left to snag a Blue Jay grounder behind second to begin a double-play with a glove-flip to Jamey Carroll.

    It would seem this entry is holding Peralta primarily responsible for the Indians' 2008 offensive struggles, as well as their inability to parlay superb starting pitching into some significant distance between themselves and their AL Central competitors. To be clear, it is moreso the decision-makers who are to blame.

    Shapiro may be the reigning MLB Executive of the Year and Wedge the Manager of the Year, but theirs has not been stellar foresight. Peralta's persistance in their plans as exclusively a SS, as well as his reliance as a meat-of-the-order run-producer, are not their only failings. Choosing to invest in a LF platoon of Dellucci and the now-departed Jason Michaels is another. There is a litany of other evidence, involving names like Marte, Phillips, Guthrie, Chuch, Scott, Izturis, Tavares, et al. What they are able to do about remediation moving forward is truly the question.

    For example, how married will they remain to Ryan Garko at 1b? He's apparently not potent enough to utilize fifth between Victor and Travis. He is another who cannot run and---again crediting Pluto---is at .195 vs. RHP. He's unremarkable defensively, despite his dedication to hard work, except to be horrid on pop-ups nearing the stands. What is more, he currently road-blocks the only two genuine bat prospects at Buffalo, where 4-A types predominate again.

    Those candidates are lefties Michael Aubrey (.345) and Jordan Brown, the organization's top minor-leaguer two years running. Especially since he is finally healthy---after appearing in only 243 games in the past five years---the suddenly-26-year-old former number-one pick Aubrey could be the beneficiary of what has begun with the promotion of vet OF Jason Tyner.

    Tyner, a non-roster spring invitee, replaces the too-seldom-used RHR Tom Mastny, at least until Jeremy Sowers is recalled for a May 19th start in Cinn. (Credit Hoynes for this, too, as well as for the Aubrey numbers.) Tyner's arrival signals a departure from the 12-pitchers/13 position guys composition as to the 25-man roster. It could be Tyner (or 3b Andy Marte) will become designated to open a spot for Sowers' return. After the LHP's start, it could be Aubrey who inherits the roster spot, possibly in at least a 1b platoon with Garko.

    Admittedly, the more likely scenario would elevate the rehabbing LH OF Shin-Soo Choo, though he is not a 1b and would be wasted athletically to become one.  

    What might eventually evolve is a late-summer package involving Garko and RHP Paul Byrd. By that time, Jake Westbrook would be back and re-entered into the rotation. Other clubs would be even more acutely aware of their need for a vet starter like Paul, an $8 mil/yr. commodity entering the final months of his contract.

    With CC, Fausto, Jake, Cliff and Laffey available, and Sowers, Adam Miller (wishful thinking?) and Brian Slocum in the pipeline, Byrd and/or Garko could present the brass with something of value to exchange for a possibly-needed bat.

    That is why it should be understood Ben Francisco and Choo have about two months' time to demonstrate they can be in-house solutions for an ailing offense. Testing Aubrey during that interim might also be astute, advisable and precautionary. 

    It has been the first 40-games, the quartermark, that have suggested much of this. The next 40 figure to more completely tell the tale of the season in general. Here is hoping the front office does not continue its ill-advised posture of standing pat. There are moves to consider and others to make. What should be sufficiently apparent is what has reigned has not been good enough.  

       

  • Quartermark approaching

    Cleveland Indians GM Mark Shapiro is inclined to identifying the 40-game mark of a given season as the initial point at which assessments of a team may be legitimately made. Anything deduced earlier than that is reactionary, perhaps, illusion at the worst. Rash, at least.

    Weather permitting, the 2008 campaign should arrive at that juncture with the completion of Wednesday's contest with Oakland.

    Having won five of its last seven, the club is currently at .500, its 18 wins accompanied by as many losses. Some very recent outbursts have served to somewhat obscure what has been a horrible first half offensively, with almost every player responsible for a share of those difficulties.

    The team is last among the 14 AL clubs in triples and total bases, the latter distinction by a whopping 21 bags. It ranks 13th in BA and slugging percentage, eleventh in doubles and steals, tenth in homers and ninth in both walks and rbi. Amazingly, it is but a half-game out of first in its division. Not so amazingly, only five AL outfits have more K's.

    Among regulars, only catcher Victor Martinez has an average worth boasting about (an AL-leading .346), but he has yet to homer, has scored only 8 runs and driven in an extremely modest 14, given the average and his being situated in the cleanup role. Some of that can be attributed to his hamstring woes, but moreso it is attributable to deficient table-setting in front of him and protection behind him.

    In fact, the customary five-hole designee is 8th on the team in rbi despite being 3rd in ABs and tied for first in homers. So sporadic has been that man's run production that he is tied in rbi (13) with a teammate (David Dellucci) having 29 fewer AB. That player is also second on the club in strike outs, last in OBP, ninth in doubles---where he is tied by someone having 95 fewer at bats---and scarsely ahead of only two regulars in BA.

    This player is, of course, Jhonny Peralta. Credit the PD's Terry Pluto with revealing that Peralta, hitting .216 overall, is but .209 vs. RHP and .143 with RISP.

    In utmost deference to Shapiro's standard for patience, it is time to ask: "Why is this guy still a starter? Why is he so regularly in the five-hole? Why is he considered a core piece? Why is he not being shipped elsewhere in exchange for something with upside?"

    Credit, too, Manager Eric Wedge with finally sitting the guy again for Game One and for saying, in the Sunday Plain Dealer: "From a discipline standpoint, he's played long enough (You're telling me!) where he understands what he needs to do to be successful and what gets him into trouble." Also in his Indians Insider, beat reporter Paul Hoynes paraphrases Wedge as indicating he would like to see more consistency at the plate from Peralta.

    I beg to differ. It would seem Peralta has been quite consistent indeed. What he is is ill-equipped. What is happening is he's being mis-employed. He's mis-cast. He's clearly not a five-hole bat, nor is he deserving of core-piece consideration. It should not have required 40 games to conclude this much, either.

    What is more is Peralta sat and witnessed, as did  thousands of Tribe fans, what playing SS at the MLB level should look like. During Saturday's contest, second-year man Asdrubal Cabrera was permitted to perform at his native position and executed at least three stellar defensive plays that Peralta quite likely would never have converted into outs, as each required the shortstop to go deep into the hole and throw across his body while on the run to edge a Toronto batsman. Though Jhonny has one of the game's better infield arms, he lacks the range, body control and quickness to match what Cabrera displayed on those three grounders.

    It had to have occurred to everyone watching, Peralta included, that the club might be far better served---particularly inasmuch as it is so conspicuously constructed around its starting pitching---were it to henceforth feature Cabrera as its everyday shortstop.

    Though this is a thought articulated by many, this writer included, dating back to Cabrera's emergence late last summer, it remains the company line that "Peralta's bat is needed in the lineup." This perspective was echoed dutifully, in fact, by a host on the club's cable production typically preceding television broadcasts.

    Is it really so that this organization is beholden to someone with such horrific offensive numbers, particularly when they come attached to a player who remains undisciplined in the box, can't run and displays less-than-average major-league SS range? Are those aforementioned numbers really those of an indispensible component part?

    Is this not the same guy who has yet to have an 80-rbi campaign? What is the fascination with this player?

    It had been proposed, at the start of the off-season and again before spring training, that Peralta be converted to 2b, where similarly over-sized middle-infielders (Bobby Grich, Jeff Kent, et al) have gravitated and succeeded due to lessened range requirements. Third base was also mentioned, as the organization is seemingly without succession behind Casey Blake, a reality that resulted in his $6 million contact and the retention of Andy Marte.

    Alas, neither option was/has been pursued.

    What is offered as defense of that resistance has been the nonsensical argument perpetrated by Shapiro and inexplicably embraced and echoed by certain media cronies. It holds that Peralta's anticipated offensive potential at SS (as well Victor's at catcher and Grady's in CF) is needed to negate what is being sacrificed at the traditional power spots in the corners of both the infield and the outfield---as if the arrangements were mutually-exclusive. (Why must it be either one or the other? Cannot it be both instead of either?)

    In other words, just because you possess offense at traditionally non-offensive positions does not mean you must not have offense at the traditional corner spots.

    It is furthermore absurd because both Cabrera and Peralta would still appear in the regular lineup, even if Jhonny moved to 2b and Asdrubal at SS? The offensive contributors would be identical but the D would be enhanced.

    One must deduce the organization is really saying it is desirous of preserving Peralta's maximum value, something that might be compromised were Jhonny to become a 2b or 3b. But shouldn't present success be the priority over potential liquidation value? The front office can't truly believe it is better all-around continuing to invest in Peralta as its SS, when a clearly superior defensive option exists in-house?

    Even should it be the brass was protecting itself against Cabrera's being an aberration, wouldn't adding SS depth been wiser than maintaining the status quo?

    Therefore, there must be something about what is needed from a 2b that Peralta lacks. Certainly, his arm would be an asset on the dp. It must be the turn he can't perform.  As a 3b, he may lack the reactions for the hot corner, where the ball tends to arrive much more quickly than it does at SS.

    The aforementioned Pluto, in his Sunday notes column, wrote: "When some tribe fans want a major trade, they usually suggest dealing veteran players they don't like. But that does not happen because other teams have scouts and televisions, too."

    On the surface, this too seems to hold some merit. But it might also be said the Cleveland organization cannot have it both ways. A regular who possesses no marketability whatsoever should not be someone playing almost daily, much less in the five hole, as if his presence were essential to the team's contention.

    If it is to be assumed true that such a player is integral to whatever winning might be had, how could it be he'd have no market value were liquidation investigated?

    Peralta should be believable in a conversation to acquire a future 3b, then, right?

    It must be acknowledged, however, that Cabrera (.194) is one of only two starters---much-maligned DH Travis Hafner (.215) is the other---hitting less well than Peralta's .216. But Cabrera has only two fewer rbi in 18 fewer ABs. And it is not Asdrubal who immediately follows Martinez' excellent .384OBP in the batting order.

    Particularly inasmuch as JP is second on the club in total bases and has enjoyed such favorable designation in the order, Peralta's production should be bearing far more fruit. He simply is not a quality run producer. It is a mistake to expect him to perform as one, a judgment for which Shapiro and Wedge are responsible. 

    Now that 40 games are nearly in the book, perhaps the brass is ready to acknowledge the errors it has made relative to Peralta's employment---both in the field and at the plate. He's been remarkably overrated heretofore---or he is woefully under-achieving. Similarly, they may be regretting their relative non-activity last offseason where personnel adjustments are concerned.

    As that sentence was written, Cabrera just turned yet another play Peralta could only dream of, ranging far to his left to snag a Blue Jay grounder behind second to begin a double-play with a glove-flip to Jamey Carroll.

    It would seem this entry is holding Peralta primarily responsible for the Indians' 2008 offensive struggles, as well as their inability to parlay superb starting pitching into some significant distance between themselves and their AL Central competitors. To be clear, it is moreso the decision-makers who are to blame.

    Shapiro may be the reigning MLB Executive of the Year and Wedge the Manager of the Year, but theirs has not been stellar foresight. Peralta's persistance in their plans as exclusively a SS, as well as his reliance as a meat-of-the-order run-producer, are not their only failings. Choosing to invest in a LF platoon of Dellucci and the now-departed Jason Michaels is another. There is a litany of other evidence, involving names like Marte, Phillips, Guthrie, Chuch, Scott, Izturis, Tavares, Barton, et al.; but why rehash such garbage? What they are able to do about remediation moving forward is truly the question.

    For example, how married will they remain to Ryan Garko at 1b? He's apparently not potent enough to utilize fifth between Victor and Travis. He is another who cannot run and---again crediting Pluto---is at .195 vs. RHP. He's unremarkable defensively, despite his dedication to hard work, except to be horrid on pop-ups nearing the stands. What is more, he currently road-blocks the only two genuine bat prospects at Buffalo, where 4-A types predominate again.

    Those candidates are lefties Michael Aubrey (.345) and Jordan Brown, the organization's top minor-leaguer two years running. Especially since he is finally healthy---after appearing in only 243 games in the past five years, research attributed to PD's Dennnis Manoloff---the suddenly-26-year-old former number-one pick Aubrey could be the beneficiary of what has begun with the promotion of vet OF Jason Tyner.

    Tyner, a non-roster spring invitee, replaces the too-seldom-used RHR Tom Mastny, at least until Jeremy Sowers is recalled for a May 19th start in Cinn. (Credit Hoynes for this, too.) Tyner's arrival signals a departure from the 12-pitchers/13 position guys composition as to the 25-man roster. It could be Tyner (or 3b Andy Marte) will become designated to open a spot for Sowers' return. After the LHP's start, it could be Aubrey who inherits the roster spot, possibly in at least a 1b platoon with Garko.

    Admittedly, the more likely scenario would elevate the rehabbing LH OF Shin-Soo Choo, though he is not a 1b and would be wasted athletically to become one. Choo can be farmed for rehab purposes up to 20 days, so there figures to be a window of about 10 games during which Aubrey could be auditioned before a decision must be made about activating Shin-Soo.   

    What might eventually evolve is a late-summer package involving Garko and RHP Paul Byrd. By that time, Jake Westbrook would be back and re-entered into the rotation. Other clubs would be even more acutely aware of their need for a vet starter like Paul, an $8 mil/yr. commodity entering the final months of his contract.

    With CC, Fausto, Jake, Cliff and Laffey available, and Sowers, Adam Miller (wishful thinking?) and Brian Slocum in the pipeline, Byrd and/or Garko could present the brass with something of value to exchange for a possibly-needed bat.

    That is why it should be understood Ben Francisco and Choo have about two months' time to demonstrate they can be in-house solutions for an ailing offense. Testing Aubrey during that interim might also be astute, advisable and precautionary. 

    It has been the first 40-games, the quartermark, that have suggested much of this. The next 40 figure to more completely tell the tale of the season in general. Here is hoping the front office does not continue its ill-advised posture of standing pat. There are moves to consider and others to make. What should be sufficiently apparent is what has reigned has not been good enough, as the stats more than the standings attest.  

       

  • Stats can be dull and/or revealing

    Too much rhetoric has been devoted recently to the Indians' offensive woes. This will attempt not to add to that pile. Instead, it may dull with numbers.

    What is about to be displayed is a list of the club's primary batsmen, with their relative "production" through the first 30 games of this 2008 MLB season, with figures for home runs, runs scored and rbi deliberately omitted in order not to obscure what is being presented.

    Ten more games must yet be played before the so-called quartermark is attained, which would make the projected math easier and, according to those who subscribe to the quartermark theory, more relevant, as well.

    Still, a portrait can be painted if the anticipated figure of 600 at bats is employed. Most of the Tribesmen is at or near 100 at-bats.

    List arranged according to the number of ABs:

    Sizemore    112 AB         BA .277       OBP  .393       23 K         18 BB

    Hafner        110                     .209                 .305       30            14

    Peralta        102                     .216                 .279       25              9

    Garko          99                      .242                 .361       15            15

    Gutierrez      99                      .253                 .295       21             5

    Martinez      95                       .347                .380         8             4

    Blake           94                      .202                 .286       25             9

    Cabrera       89                      .191                 .284       20            11

    Dellucci       72                       .264                 .349       12             8

    Michaels      58                      .207                 .258       13              4

    Carroll         37                      .216                 .396         3              7

    So, what can be determined from these numbers? There is a lot of striking-out. Six guys project to K figures in excess of 120, with Travis headed for 180 and both Peralta and Blake for 150. What is more, the disparity between walks and strikeouts is horrid, which is reflected in the next stat examined. 

    That would be the atrocious lot of low OBPs. For comparison's sake, a reasonable OBP is .330, with .370 considered elite. Only Carroll, Grady and Victor merit the latter designation, which is no particular surprise. What is telling, however, is that only Garko and Dellucci join them among the reasonable. And it is not even close for the rest of the lineup. Five can't even crack .300!

    When it is further considered that a batting average in the .240 range is grounds for benching, this is a club that could not field a starting nine. Only five would make that arbitrary cut, and Garko only because his OBP mitigates his .242.

    It is a terrible offensive team, at least thusfar. But you knew that before these numbers confirmed it.

    Before the season began, I'd described the team's chances as overly-reliant upon "too many marginals," players who scarsely distinguish themselves among the MLB masses. What has tranpired is even worse than anticipated.

    Naturally, the sentiment remains that this outfit will right itself. That the whole is greater than the sum of its parts. That it won 96 ballgames last year. That it came within a single victory of getting to and probably winning a World Series. That too many of these guys have established track records they will eventually replicate.

    Maybe. Maybe not. What is surely apparent is whatever it is they have been doing when stepping into the batter's box has not been working for far too many of them.

    But, again, you probably deduced that for yourselves by now. 

  • Stats may be dull but often revealing

    Too much rhetoric has been devoted recently to the Indians' offensive woes. This will attempt not to add to that pile. Instead, it may dull with numbers.

    What is about to be displayed is a list of the club's primary batsmen, with their relative "production" through the first 30 games of this 2008 MLB season, with figures for home runs, runs scored and rbi deliberately omitted in order not to obscure what is being presented.

    Ten more games must yet be played before the so-called quartermark is attained, which would make the projected math easier and, according to those who subscribe to the quartermark theory, more relevant, as well.

    Still, a portrait can be painted if the anticipated figure of 600 at bats is employed. Most of the Tribesmen is at or near 100 at-bats.

    List arranged according to the number of ABs:

    Sizemore    112 AB         BA .277       OBP  .393       23 K         18 BB

    Hafner        110                     .209                 .305       30            14

    Peralta        102                     .216                 .279       25              9

    Garko          99                      .242                 .361       15            15

    Gutierrez      99                      .253                 .295       21             5

    Martinez      95                       .347                .380         8             4

    Blake           94                      .202                 .286       25             9

    Cabrera       89                      .191                 .284       20            11

    Dellucci       72                       .264                 .349       12             8

    Michaels      58                      .207                 .258       13              4

    Carroll         37                      .216                 .396         3              7

    So, what can be determined from these numbers? There is a lot of striking-out. Six guys project to K figures in excess of 120, with Travis headed for 180 and both Peralta and Blake for 150. What is more, the disparity between walks and strikeouts is horrid, which is reflected in the next stat examined. 

    That would be the atrocious lot of low OBPs. For comparison's sake, a reasonable OBP is .330, with .370 considered elite. Only Carroll, Grady and Victor merit the latter designation, which is no particular surprise. What is telling, however, is that only Garko and Dellucci join them among the reasonable. And it is not even close for the rest of the lineup. Five can't even crack .300!

    When it is further considered that a batting average in the .240 range is grounds for benching, this is a club that could not field a starting nine. Only five would make that arbitrary cut, and Garko only because his OBP mitigates his .242.

    It is a terrible offensive team, at least thusfar. But you knew that before these numbers confirmed it.

    Before the season began, I'd described the team's chances as overly-reliant upon "too many marginals," players who scarsely distinguish themselves among the MLB masses. What has tranpired is even worse than anticipated.

    Naturally, the sentiment remains that this outfit will right itself. That the whole is greater than the sum of its parts. That it won 96 ballgames last year. That it came within a single victory of getting to and probably winning a World Series. That too many of these guys have established track records they will eventually replicate.

    Maybe. Maybe not. What is surely apparent is whatever it is they have been doing when stepping into the batter's box has not been working for far too many of them.

    But, again, you probably deduced that for yourselves by now. 

    As a post-script to this entry, the data argues for Wedge to dispense with his attempts to place a hot bat in each third of the order and do as had been earlier suggested: bunch his better bats so as to optimize what strength the club has at its disposal.

    Since one would not want to platoon his 3-hole hitter, Dellucci shares leadoff, presumably with Francisco, who was recalled since the earlier paragraphs. Following DD's .349 OBP would come Carroll's .396 ahead of Sizemore's .393 batting third. Victor's .380 would be backed by Garko's .361, setting the table for Hafner's uncharacteristic .305. Then it gets quite dicey, as Blake (.286), Gutierrez (.295) and Peralta's incredibly bad .279 would be left to close things out.

    Given his lack of speed and range, together with his much-too-rare stroke which takes him to his natural right-center power, Peralta should be shopped, if there is in fact a market for him. He simply provides too little as an all-around player if he is not going to out-hit his conspicuous shortcomings.

    Michaels was designated for assignment by the Tribe, meaning within ten days he'll be released, dealt or outrighted. What this development creates, aside from a cleared roster slo